Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.294334 0.344036 0.396537 0.455839 0.520679 0.589153 0.666659
2025-02-02 0.228441 0.296902 0.373956 0.465949 0.571657 0.688266 0.825568
2025-02-09 0.173082 0.250765 0.343856 0.460865 0.601341 0.762106 0.957544
2025-02-16 0.137392 0.221240 0.327803 0.467998 0.642668 0.848637 1.105413
2025-02-23 0.106167 0.191409 0.306515 0.464844 0.669074 0.916510 1.231900
2025-03-02 0.076894 0.158224 0.275776 0.445291 0.671803 0.953649 1.320629
2025-03-09 0.061228 0.141836 0.265353 0.450452 0.704712 1.027569 1.454661
2025-03-16 0.045461 0.121486 0.246106 0.440883 0.716362 1.073546 1.553679
2025-03-23 0.038697 0.115332 0.247299 0.459703 0.766098 1.168898 1.716027
2025-03-30 0.029855 0.102792 0.236489 0.459471 0.788696 1.228488 1.833020
2025-04-06 0.023082 0.092435 0.227718 0.461093 0.813128 1.290237 1.953064
2025-04-13 0.018713 0.086131 0.225009 0.471463 0.849799 1.368544 2.095319
2025-04-20 0.015457 0.081725 0.225482 0.487278 0.895502 1.460981 2.259080
2025-04-27 0.012649 0.077482 0.225681 0.502446 0.940499 1.553170 2.423830
2025-05-04 0.008974 0.068681 0.215680 0.499749 0.958348 1.607877 2.539151
2025-05-11 0.006840 0.063794 0.212869 0.508812 0.993904 1.687537 2.688696
2025-05-18 0.004592 0.056587 0.203932 0.506365 1.011305 1.741580 2.803966
2025-05-25 0.002364 0.046272 0.185982 0.486171 0.999793 1.753756 2.861835
2025-06-01 0.001535 0.042391 0.182460 0.491925 1.029150 1.824625 3.000603
2025-06-08 0.000704 0.035947 0.171135 0.481949 1.032527 1.857540 3.086984
2025-06-15 0.000517 0.035376 0.175296 0.501989 1.085150 1.962900 3.274841
2025-06-22 0.000220 0.031471 0.169435 0.501799 1.104229 2.019025 3.394378
2025-06-29 0.000074 0.028240 0.164776 0.503549 1.126318 2.079645 3.520549